# Lightning strikes 5.89 times

Given billions of copyrighted works, from Web pages to feature films, the stats show that it’s probably harder to get sued in a copyright case than to get hit by lightning. – Stephen Manes

1:700,000 – Chance of getting struck by lightning. (Source)

1:120,000 – Chance of getting struck with a copyright suit. (Math in extended entry)

1:5.89 – Ratio of chance of getting struck by lightning to chance of getting struck with copyright suit.

(Lessig responds to the rest of the article, I just felt like correcting the math.)

To figure out the chance of getting struck with a copyright suit I used a US population of 290,809,777; the estimated population for 2003. The number of copyright suits in 2003 according to Manes was 2,448 and 2,448/290,809,777 = 118,794.8435457516.

April fools? Innumeracy? Simply incorrect math?

’twas but a typo. I’m not usually so paranoid. 😛

Odd of getting struck by lightning vs. getting sued in a copyright caseApparently you are 5.89 times likelier to get sued for…